Why It Might Be Difficult For The Opposition In South Africa To Overthrow The Anc-led Government

The governing party of South Africa is expected to face an electoral crisis for the first time in thirty years, potentially losing its parliamentary majority and witnessing a sharp decline in support.

The African National Congress (ANC), which has ruled since apartheid ended in 1994, is struggling to win over new supporters, but experts point out that it has a significant advantage that could help it maintain its hold on power.

Political scientist Mcebisi Ndletyana of the University of Johannesburg says the opposition is dispersed, with 70 political parties and 11 independent candidates running in the national and local elections on May 29. He stated that support for both the ANC and the official opposition is likely to drop.

The African National Congress (ANC) secured 57% of the vote in the most recent general elections in 2019, but given the ongoing power crisis, growing claims of misgovernance, and rising unemployment, it is anticipated that ANC support will decline.

As per a recent survey conducted by market research firm Ipsos, the African National Congress (ANC) currently has 40.2% of the vote. Numerous surveys have also indicated that the majority required to form a national government may be lost by the ruling party.